Sunday, January 28, 2018

The Thankless Job of being a Negative Nabob

Too many engineers suffer from "technology is always good" bias. I see it all the time in my line of work. There are very few "devil's advocate," when it comes to weighing the pros/cons of technological ideas. The fact that no one thought to consider the pool of ALL users before deploying this "map" shows the bias and/or lack of imagination.

Of course, engineers who are the voice of "but what about" are not popular in meetings where engineers are fawning over each other for the "greatest idea." Companies don't award engineers who avoid problems that never materialize because of their foresight.

The Positive Power Of Negative Thinking Paperback – September 3, 2002 by Julie Norem (Author)

https://www.amazon.com/Positive-Power-Negative-Thinking/dp/0465051391

Wednesday, January 24, 2018

First Term Presidents Expect too much Credit for their first year

I ignore ALL presidents who claim any economic credit (or receive blame) in their first year.

A president doesn't submit his own first budget until later in the year (~October) of his inauguration year. So, it isn't even logical to think a president's inauguration year has anything to do with economic improvement or decline.

Furthermore, the recent tax cuts (for Trump) that just kicked in January 2018 and won't actually be realized/recognized until February at the earliest ... so there really isn't any way to tie cause-and-effect except to make a general statement about people possibly behaving differently based on expected future tax savings.

Which, even if valid, is not measurable and therefore isn't something that could be touted if one were being honest. But that won't keep shameless Trump from taking credit.